A researcher, financial economist, and chartered accountant, Dr Evans Duah, has revealed that as of January 9, about 96.6 per cent of delegates expected to vote in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) internal elections had already made up their minds on whom to support.
Speaking on Asempa FM’s Ekosii Sen show, Dr. Duah explained that the findings were based on a detailed research model developed following the NPP’s loss in the 2024 general elections.
According to him, the vote margin between the NPP and NDC candidates, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and John Dramani Mahama, widened significantly—from around 500,000 votes to nearly 1.7 million—representing an average loss of approximately 2.2 million votes for the NPP.
Dr. Duah said the research was built on a five-model conceptual framework, noting that the party’s defeat had a major psychological impact on delegates, whom he described as politicians with strong political memory.
He stressed that the high percentage of decided delegates indicates that voting patterns are largely settled well ahead of the elections, leaving little room for major shifts at the final stage.
“Our research developed a five-model conceptual framework to analyze this situation. After the NPP lost the election, the impact was profound. The delegates are experienced politicians with a strong political memory; they assess electability based on various factors, including the candidates’ messages and personalities.
“Ultimately, if the grassroots support a candidate, that endorsement is crucial, regardless of outside opinions. By January 9, 96.6 per cent of the delegates had already made up their minds about whom they were going to vote for,” he added.
Source: adomonline.com
